The U.S. House of Representatives may approve the controversial
Magnitsky Act bill this week. President Obama is expected to sign the
document by Christmas. Washington is aware the Russian authorities
intentions of responding with their own list, but consider these plans
ridiculous, a senior source in the Congress told Gazeta.ru.
According to the source, the bill will most likely be passed by
the end of the week, possibly on the third anniversary of Magnitsky's
death. Magnitsky, a lawyer, died in jail on November 16, 2009.
"After the House, the bill still has to pass through the Senate, and
only then can the president sign the bill," the source continued. "The
President's signature is rather a formality: the president is planning
to sign it. How much time will it take? A couple of days, or as long as
necessary to send the bill from the Senate to the President, does not
matter. "
According to the source, the bill will be approved by the Senate
around Thanksgiving (November 22), or in early December. "We can say for
sure say the chances that the President will sign the bill before
Christmas are very high," he added. "I would say that the probability is
80-90%, or in any case, much higher than 50%."
In a conversation with Gazeta.ru, the Congressional source said that
ordinary Russian citizens should not fear the Magnitsky Act because it
does not impose extensive sanctions and does not close off the U.S.
market. The text of the document refers only to those who are guilty of
human rights violations in Russia. The source believes the law should be
considered more of a "pro-Russian" law.
After the adoption of the law in the "Magnitsky list" will be new
names. "In Russia, perhaps, not very well understood that this law goes
far beyond the case itself Magnitsky. Magnitsky case - yes, of course,
but the text is the phrase "or other serious violations of human rights
... It will all be one list, and it will be updated periodically, "-
said the official.
Among the possible future names on the "Magnitsky List" the
Congressional source cited persons involved in the death of "Memorial"
human rights activist Natalya Estemirova and other crimes in the North
Caucasus. In addition, Gazetaru was told that the list may include
people involved in the kidnapping and torture of "Left Front" activist
Leonid Razvozzhaeva, as well as those involved in the killing of
journalist Oleg Kashin.
Only one Russian government representative is on the list: the
President of Chechnya, Ramzan Kadyrov. In addition, anxious
administration officials who follow Russia's actions have put the head
of the Federal Investigative Committee, Alexander Bastrykin, on the
list.
Bastrykin previously attracted Washington's attention by refusing to
cooperate with foreign partners [for example, the Alexander Litvinenko
case, who was poisoned in London with polonium]. Gazeta.ru's source said
the last straw for Bastrykin was the case of the deputy chief editor of
"Novaya Gazeta" Sergei Sokolov, who Bastrykin probably brought into the
forest and threatened with murder. The source stressed that, names will
appear on the Magnitsky List, only of persons directly involved in
gross violations of human rights such as kidnapping, torture, beatings,
killings, imprisonment.
The source also made it clear that those deputies who helped pass a
recent series of repressive laws against rallies, NGOs and slander, will
probably be safe from the list.
The Magnitsky Act may negatively affect Russian-US relations. Moscow
has repeatedly said it was preparing an answering list: both President
Vladimir Putin and Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov have mentioned it. The
source said that Washington is familiar with these statements, but
finds it difficult to imagine how such lists could be equalising.
"From our perspective, it's interesting, because we identify serious
human rights violators, publicly announce their names, do not allow
them to enter the U.S. and freeze their assets, or if their assets are
not in the US, forbid them access to our financial system. It is
somewhat difficult to imagine a plausible, serious balanced response to
this, " the source stressed.
The congressional official suggested that the Russian side, in
response, is likely to name names of the people involved in the
extradition and trial of Viktor Bout, accused of illegal arms dealing,
or a pilot Konstantin Yaroshenko, who is charged with drug trafficking.
In addition, Gazeta.ru's source admitted that sanctions will be taken
against members of Congress who vote in favour of the Magnitsky Act.
The source said that such a move is "pretty ridiculous", adding that
"these U.S. citizens do not travel to Russia, and are certainly
unlikely to have accounts in Russian banks…. If this is done in public,
then I think that the Russian government will be exposed to ridicule in
Russia itself, and at an international level," he added. "Compared to
Sergei Magnitsky, Victor Bout is simply not serious. Oh, please ... It's
absurd."